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Merani Martvili vs Bolnisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Khetsuriani G.
30'
Iakobidze G.
36' Event
Khelaia D.

AI Match Summary

Merani Martvili in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merani Martvili.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Merani Martvili
20%
Draws
36%
Bolnisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merani Martvili

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bolnisi haven't matched Merani Martvili's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 19%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Martvili Bolnisi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Bolnisi
2:1
Jun 13, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Merani Martvili
2:0
Apr 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Bolnisi
2:1
Oct 21, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Merani Martvili
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Bolnisi
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Martvili Compare

Top Goalscorer Khelaia D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gadilia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bolnisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Huskic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Martvili 32 / 100
Bolnisi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Martvili Bolnisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merani Martvili's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bolnisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Merani Martvili went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merani Martvili VS Bolnisi
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Martvili

(Home)
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
2 : 0
Merani Martvili
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
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Bolnisi

(Away)
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)