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Merani Martvili vs FC Gareji Sagarejo

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Khelaia D.
Assist: Gagity R.
19'
Gagity R.
42'
Sub
Eradze Z. In: Gulisashvili I.
Out: Eradze Z.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between Merani Martvili and FC Gareji Sagarejo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merani Martvili.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Merani Martvili
28%
Draws
50%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Gareji Sagarejo come out ahead of Merani Martvili on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on FC Gareji Sagarejo taking it.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Gareji Sagarejo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Martvili FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:0
Oct 27, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili
6:1
Aug 18, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:4
May 15, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Martvili Compare

Top Goalscorer Khelaia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Martvili 24 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Martvili FC Gareji Sagarejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Merani Martvili found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: FC Gareji Sagarejo conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Merani Martvili remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Merani Martvili VS FC Gareji Sagarejo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Gareji Sagarejo19116224:1239
2Telavi19105422:1535
3Merani Martvili1986523:2030
4Shturmi1969417:1427
5Dusheti1974818:2325
6Bolnisi1967625:2025
7Odishi 19191966723:2624
8Kolkheti 19131946924:2418
9Gori1937913:2416
10Samtredia19441125:3616