Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merani Tbilisi vs Betlemi Keda

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Khetsuriani N.
27' Event
Tolordava S.
40' Event
Muzashvili T.

AI Match Summary

Merani Tbilisi in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merani Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Merani Tbilisi
6%
Draws
4%
Betlemi Keda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Merani Tbilisi lately — more wins on the board than Betlemi Keda.
  • Model gives Merani Tbilisi a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi Betlemi Keda
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Betlemi Keda
5:0
Nov 28, 2025 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Merani Tbilisi
4:0
Jun 24, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Betlemi Keda
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Betlemi Keda
9:4
Jun 15, 2024 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Merani Tbilisi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Khetsuriani N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tolordava S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Betlemi Keda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 85 / 100
Betlemi Keda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi Betlemi Keda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Betlemi Keda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Merani Tbilisi scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Merani Tbilisi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS Betlemi Keda
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443