Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merani Tbilisi vs Chkherimela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merani Tbilisi in this Liga 3 2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merani Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Merani Tbilisi
20%
Draws
28%
Chkherimela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Merani Tbilisi lately — more wins on the board than Chkherimela.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Merani Tbilisi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
Chkherimela Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi Chkherimela
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.56 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2017 Liga 3
Chkherimela vs Merani Tbilisi
2:4
May 23, 2017 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Chkherimela
4:0
May 20, 2012 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Chkherimela vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1
Apr 12, 2012 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Chkherimela
1:2
May 7, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Chkherimela vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 85 / 100
Chkherimela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi Chkherimela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Merani Tbilisi remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Merani Tbilisi scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Chkherimela let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Tbilisi

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 7

Chkherimela

(Away)
22 Nov
Chkherimela
1 : 0
Sulori Vani
14 Nov
Sapovnela Terjola
3 : 2
Chkherimela
07 Nov
Chkherimela
2 : 4
Odishi 1919
25 Oct
Skuri Tsalenjikha
1 : 2
Chkherimela
15 Oct
Margveti 2006
1 : 1
Chkherimela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 12 1 5 36:19 37
2 Telavi 18 10 5 3 30:18 35
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 10 3 5 39:24 33
4 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 6 7 5 31:29 25
5 FC Gardabani 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
6 Gori 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
7 Algeti Marneuli 18 6 5 7 25:27 23
8 Borjomi 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
9 Chkherimela 18 4 6 8 18:31 18
10 Liakhvi Tskhinvali 18 2 3 13 17:47 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chiatura 18 12 4 2 32:14 40
2 Khoni 18 9 6 3 20:10 33
3 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 8 5 5 25:18 29
4 Betlemi Keda 18 7 7 4 34:20 28
5 Samegrelo 18 6 9 3 20:14 27
6 Sulori Vani 18 7 3 8 20:19 24
7 Margveti 2006 18 5 6 7 21:28 21
8 Skuri Tsalenjikha 18 4 5 9 16:27 17
9 Odishi 1919 18 3 5 10 13:27 14
10 Sapovnela Terjola 18 1 6 11 7:31 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)