Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merani Tbilisi vs Didube

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Khochua I.
45' Event
Natchkebia D.
63' Event
Gochava D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Merani Tbilisi
30%
Draws
19%
Didube
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Merani Tbilisi lately — more wins on the board than Didube.
  • Win probability leans Merani Tbilisi's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%
Didube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi Didube
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Didube
2:2
Mar 5, 2026 Liga 3
Didube vs Merani Tbilisi
0:0
Sep 25, 2025 Liga 3
Didube vs Merani Tbilisi
2:0
Apr 24, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Didube
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Khochua I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muzashvili T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Didube Compare

Top Goalscorer Natchkebia D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gochava D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 47 / 100
Didube 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi Didube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merani Tbilisi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Merani Tbilisi's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Didube conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS Didube
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Tbilisi

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

Didube

(Away)
17 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2
Didube
10 Sept
Didube
0 : 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
03 Sept
Khobi
1 : 1
Didube
27 Aug
Didube
0 : 3
Margveti 2006
20 Aug
FC Gardabani
1 : 2
Didube
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)