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Merani Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025 Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Lukava G.
52' Event
Asimu T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Merani Tbilisi and FC Tbilisi 2025 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tbilisi 2025.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Merani Tbilisi
35%
Draws
21%
FC Tbilisi 2025
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Merani Tbilisi haven't matched FC Tbilisi 2025's recent run of results.
  • Merani Tbilisi are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi FC Tbilisi 2025
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.48 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025
0:2
Sep 5, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025
3:2
Apr 3, 2025 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Merani Tbilisi
2:2
Sep 19, 2024 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Merani Tbilisi
1:2
Mar 28, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

FC Tbilisi 2025 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukava G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asimu T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 74 / 100
FC Tbilisi 2025 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi FC Tbilisi 2025

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merani Tbilisi has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Merani Tbilisi found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Tbilisi 2025's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS FC Tbilisi 2025
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Tbilisi

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
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FC Tbilisi 2025

(Away)
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
FC Tbilisi 2025
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Iveria Khashuri
20 Aug
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
0 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)