Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merani Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Lukava G.
52' Event
Asimu T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Merani Tbilisi and FC Tbilisi 2025 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tbilisi 2025.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Merani Tbilisi
6%
Draws
90%
FC Tbilisi 2025
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Tbilisi 2025

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Merani Tbilisi haven't matched FC Tbilisi 2025's recent run of results.
  • FC Tbilisi 2025 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 16%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi FC Tbilisi 2025
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 22
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025
0:2
Sep 5, 2025 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025
3:2
Apr 3, 2025 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Merani Tbilisi
2:2
Sep 19, 2024 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Merani Tbilisi
1:2
Mar 28, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Tbilisi 2025 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukava G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asimu T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 10 / 100
FC Tbilisi 2025 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi FC Tbilisi 2025

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TBI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Merani Tbilisi scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Merani Tbilisi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Tbilisi 2025's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS FC Tbilisi 2025
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Tbilisi

(Home)
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 1
Orbi
14 Jun
WIT Georgia
0 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
28 May
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 2
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 May
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
0 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
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FC Tbilisi 2025

(Away)
26 Jun
Aragvelebi
0 : 4
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
15 Jun
FC Tbilisi 2025
7 : 1
Betlemi Keda
28 May
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 2
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 May
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Didube
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443
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