Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merani Tbilisi vs Gagra 2

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gagra 2 in this Pirveli Liga 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gagra 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Merani Tbilisi
15%
Draws
16%
Gagra 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Merani Tbilisi lately — more wins on the board than Gagra 2.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Merani Tbilisi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
Gagra 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merani Tbilisi Gagra 2
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.42 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Gagra 2
0:4
Mar 6, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1
Oct 19, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Gagra 2
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merani Tbilisi 85 / 100
Gagra 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merani Tbilisi Gagra 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gagra 2 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Merani Tbilisi has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Merani Tbilisi scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Merani Tbilisi VS Gagra 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merani Tbilisi

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
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Gagra 2

(Away)
26 Jun
Gagra 2
1 : 2
Odishi 1919
20 Jul
Gagra 2
0 : 5
Dinamo Batumi
20 Jun
Gagra 2
2 : 0
WIT Georgia 2
19 May
Gagra 2
0 : 1
Chikhura Sachkhere
12 May
Gagra 2
0 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
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