Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Arenal in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arenal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mercadal have won more games recently than Arenal.
- Model gives Mercadal a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mercadal | Arenal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mercadal Compare
Arenal Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arenal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Mercadal scored in 69% of their last 35 games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Mercadal stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mercadal
(Home)Arenal
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manacor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 15 |
| 2 | SD Ibiza | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Cardassar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Constancia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 6 | Platges de Calvia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Porreres | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Formentera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 10 | PE Sant Jordi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Alcudia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Mercadal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Andratx | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 14 | Binissalem | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Arenal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Migjorn | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Inter Ibiza | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 18 | Sineu | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:14 | 0 |
