Sport Picks
Mercadal vs Constancia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Mercadal and Constancia finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Constancia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Constancia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Constancia's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Constancia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mercadal | Constancia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mercadal Compare
Constancia Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mercadal scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Mercadal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Constancia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mercadal
(Home)Constancia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manacor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 15 |
| 2 | SD Ibiza | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Cardassar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Constancia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 6 | Platges de Calvia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Porreres | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Formentera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 10 | PE Sant Jordi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Alcudia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Mercadal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Andratx | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 14 | Binissalem | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Arenal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Migjorn | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Inter Ibiza | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 18 | Sineu | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:14 | 0 |
