Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025

Mercadal

1 - 2

PE Sant Jordi

Our Tip

Match Events

Rosillo I.

30'

Carreras R.

86'

Kolie M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Mercadal and PE Sant Jordi finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PE Sant Jordi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Mercadal

11%

Draws

80%

PE Sant Jordi

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: PE Sant Jordi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Mercadal carry the better recent record into this one.
PE Sant Jordi are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Mercadal Clean Sheet 20%

PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mercadal	PE Sant Jordi
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	16	8
Draws	3	6
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	0.88	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Mercadal vs PE Sant Jordi

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

PE Sant Jordi vs Mercadal

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

PE Sant Jordi vs Mercadal

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Oct 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Mercadal vs PE Sant Jordi

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

PE Sant Jordi vs Mercadal

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mercadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Carreras R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

PE Sant Jordi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosillo I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kolie M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mercadal 12 / 100

PE Sant Jordi 75 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mercadal PE Sant Jordi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSJ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PE Sant Jordi has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Mercadal scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

PE Sant Jordi's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mercadal VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Poblense	34	22	6	6	47:17	72
2	Constancia	34	18	13	3	55:31	67
3	Formentera	34	19	9	6	68:34	66
4	Porreres	34	17	11	6	51:32	62
5	Penya Independent	34	17	7	10	59:34	58
6	Platges de Calvia	34	14	12	8	51:37	54
7	Manacor	34	13	12	9	54:36	51
8	Alcudia	34	13	8	13	51:53	47
9	Binissalem	34	13	8	13	35:34	47
10	Llosetense	34	12	8	14	47:45	44
11	Santanyi	34	10	13	11	40:45	43
12	Mercadal	34	10	10	14	40:43	40
13	Felanitx	34	10	10	14	33:50	40
14	Collerense	34	9	12	13	42:48	39
15	Portmany	34	8	13	13	43:51	37
16	PE Sant Jordi	34	8	6	20	30:52	30
17	Campos	34	4	8	22	31:75	20
18	Migjorn	34	4	4	26	22:82	16