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Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mercedes
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo Paraguayo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mercedes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mercedes lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Paraguayo.
  • Model gives Mercedes a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Mercedes Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Paraguayo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mercedes Deportivo Paraguayo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 12 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Primera C
Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo
0:0
Oct 3, 2025 Primera C
Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo
2:0
Sep 26, 2025 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 Primera C
Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo
2:1
Mar 8, 2024 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Mercedes
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mercedes 95 / 100
Deportivo Paraguayo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mercedes Deportivo Paraguayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mercedes has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mercedes scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Paraguayo conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Deportivo Paraguayo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mercedes VS Deportivo Paraguayo
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mercedes

(Home)
25 Jul
Berazategui
0 : 1
Mercedes
18 Jul
Mercedes
2 : 0
El Porvenir
12 Jul
Mercedes
1 : 1
Victoriano Arenas
06 Jul
CSR Espanol
0 : 3
Mercedes
27 Jun
Mercedes
5 : 0
Justo Jose de Urquiza
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Paraguayo

(Away)
25 Jul
Estrella Del Sur
1 : 0
Deportivo Paraguayo
11 Jul
Deportivo Paraguayo
0 : 1
Berazategui
05 Jul
Victoriano Arenas
0 : 0
Deportivo Paraguayo
27 Jun
Deportivo Paraguayo
0 : 2
CSR Espanol
13 Jun
Deportivo Paraguayo
0 : 0
Justo Jose de Urquiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacachispas20105525:1535
2Mercedes2188522:1132
3Berazategui2088423:1532
4CA Lugano2188525:1932
5Estrella Del Sur2087522:1731
6CSR Espanol2086626:1830
7Puerto Nuevo2179518:1930
8Victoriano Arenas21610517:1328
9Leandro N. Alem2176825:3427
10Juventud Unida San Miguel2067721:2025
11Defensores de Cambaceres2157916:2422
12Justo Jose de Urquiza2131179:1820
13Argentino de Rosario21212719:2618
14Deportivo Paraguayo20371010:2616
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Lujan20106425:1536
2Canuelas2199323:1336
3Deportivo Espanol21710418:1431
4Yupanqui2178625:2229
5Leones de Rosario2078519:1929
6General Lamadrid2178618:2029
7Sportivo Barracas2184925:2328
8Atlas2168717:1926
9El Porvenir21413417:1825
10Central Cordoba (Rosario)2058714:1523
11CSD Central Ballester20641019:2422
12Deportivo Muniz22410816:2122
13Claypole2057815:2322
14Fenix21561014:2221
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)