Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merelbeke vs Aalst

Belgium Belgium

Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalst in this Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalst.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Merelbeke
15%
Draws
64%
Aalst
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalst

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aalst have won more games recently than Merelbeke.
  • Model gives Aalst a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aalst here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 20%
Aalst Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelbeke Aalst
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.39 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2024 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Merelbeke vs Aalst
0:2
Oct 1, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Aalst vs Merelbeke
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Merelbeke vs Aalst
0:2
Nov 12, 2022 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Aalst vs Merelbeke
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelbeke 10 / 100
Aalst 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelbeke Aalst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalst Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelbeke's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Aalst's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Merelbeke stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merelbeke VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelbeke

(Home)
28 Aug
Hoogstraten
2 : 3
Merelbeke
08 Aug
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Lierse SK
27 Jun
Merelbeke
1 : 6
Gent
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
19 Apr
Merelbeke
1 : 3
SK Roeselare
Page 1 of 7

Aalst

(Away)
05 May
Aalst
1 : 3
Gullegem
28 Apr
KRC Harelbeke
1 : 0
Aalst
21 Apr
Aalst
3 : 0
Ninove
14 Apr
Olsa Brakel
2 : 3
Aalst
07 Apr
Aalst
4 : 1
Oostkamp
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalst 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
2 Ninove 34 17 7 10 57:48 58
3 Dikkelvenne 34 15 11 8 67:48 56
4 Merelbeke 34 16 6 12 68:43 54
5 Cercle Brugge 2 34 16 5 13 64:51 53
6 Voorde Appelterre 34 15 8 11 54:56 53
7 Oudenaarde 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 Oostkamp 34 14 7 13 58:68 49
9 Waregem 2 34 14 6 14 53:44 48
10 Gullegem 34 14 5 15 57:64 47
11 Torhout 34 13 8 13 47:61 47
12 KRC Gent 34 13 6 15 54:53 45
13 Zelzate 34 12 6 16 63:60 42
14 Olsa Brakel 34 11 6 17 38:47 39
15 KRC Harelbeke 34 9 12 13 47:56 39
16 Petegem 34 10 8 16 54:63 38
17 Mandel United 34 10 7 17 27:46 37
18 RFC Wetteren 34 8 8 18 49:80 32
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)