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Merelbeke vs Gent

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kanga W.
(Penalty)
8' Event
Kanga W.
15' Event
Ito A.

AI Match Summary

Gent in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Merelbeke
15%
Draws
58%
Gent
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gent lately — more wins on the board than Merelbeke.
  • Win probability leans Gent's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gent have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 20%
Gent Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelbeke Gent
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 11
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Merelbeke vs Gent
1:6
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Merelbeke vs Gent
0:5
Jun 30, 2023 Club Friendly
Merelbeke vs Gent
1:9
Jun 28, 2019 Club Friendly
Merelbeke vs Gent
1:6
Jun 30, 2018 Club Friendly
Merelbeke vs Gent
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merelbeke Compare

Top Goalscorer Raza D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Gent Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanga W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ito A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelbeke 10 / 100
Gent 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelbeke Gent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.80 goals when they meet.

Merelbeke's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gent conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Merelbeke went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merelbeke VS Gent
1.2 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
60% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelbeke

(Home)
06 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
28 Aug
Hoogstraten
2 : 3
Merelbeke
08 Aug
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Lierse SK
27 Jun
Merelbeke
1 : 6
Gent
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
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Gent

(Away)
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
30 Aug
Gent
2 : 1
Club Brugge
27 Aug
Hibernian
2 : 3
Gent
20 Aug
Gent
0 : 0
Hibernian
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