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Merelbeke vs Heist - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merelbeke host Heist in the National Division 1 - VV. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Merelbeke at 1.52 goals for, 1.48 against; Heist at 2.29 for, 1.18 against. Past meetings favor Merelbeke slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.25) point toward Heist. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Merelbeke
30%
Draws
41%
Heist
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Heist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heist come out ahead of Merelbeke on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 19%
Heist Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelbeke Heist
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.52 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Heist vs Merelbeke
1:2
Nov 16, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Heist
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelbeke 32 / 100
Heist 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelbeke Heist

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heist Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Merelbeke scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Heist let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Merelbeke has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Merelbeke VS Heist
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelbeke

(Home)
18 Oct
Knokke
0 : 3
Merelbeke
11 Oct
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Mandel United
04 Oct
Tienen
0 : 0
Merelbeke
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
27 Sept
Merelbeke
0 : 1
Eupen
Page 1 of 6

Heist

(Away)
21 Oct
Heist
4 : 0
Tienen
17 Oct
Heist
0 : 1
Antwerp
11 Oct
Leuven B
0 : 0
Heist
03 Oct
Heist
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
30 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
3 : 1
Heist
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 8 7 0 1 20:8 21
2 Mandel United 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Leuven B 8 5 1 2 19:14 16
4 SK Roeselare 8 4 3 1 12:4 15
5 Merelbeke 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6 Thes Sport 9 3 4 2 15:11 13
7 Heist 8 3 2 3 13:12 11
8 Dessel 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
9 Belisia Bilzen 9 3 2 4 16:18 11
10 Knokke 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
11 Hoogstraten 8 2 4 2 19:15 10
12 Tienen 8 2 3 3 14:14 9
13 Cercle Brugge 2 8 2 2 4 11:17 8
14 K. Lyra-Lierse 8 1 3 4 13:19 6
15 KRC Harelbeke 8 1 1 6 6:23 4
16 Zelzate 8 0 3 5 7:19 3
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