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Merelbeke vs KRC Harelbeke Prediction & H2H Stats

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Balcaen X.
17' Event
Balcaen X.
85' Event
De Ruyver M.

AI Match Summary

Merelbeke in this National Division 1 - VV matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merelbeke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Merelbeke
20%
Draws
10%
KRC Harelbeke
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelbeke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Merelbeke lately — more wins on the board than KRC Harelbeke.
  • Model gives Merelbeke a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 14%
KRC Harelbeke Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelbeke KRC Harelbeke
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs KRC Harelbeke
3:0
Feb 25, 2024 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Merelbeke vs KRC Harelbeke
4:0
Nov 12, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
KRC Harelbeke vs Merelbeke
2:0
Apr 1, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
KRC Harelbeke vs Merelbeke
0:2
Oct 2, 2022 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Merelbeke vs KRC Harelbeke
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merelbeke Compare

Top Goalscorer Balcaen X.
2 Goals
Assists Leader De Ruyver M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

KRC Harelbeke Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelbeke 84 / 100
KRC Harelbeke 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelbeke KRC Harelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelbeke Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KRC Harelbeke let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Merelbeke's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Merelbeke stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merelbeke VS KRC Harelbeke
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelbeke

(Home)
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
27 Sept
Merelbeke
0 : 1
Eupen
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
1 : 0
Merelbeke
06 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
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KRC Harelbeke

(Away)
30 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
3 : 3
Hoogstraten
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
05 Sept
Heist
2 : 1
KRC Harelbeke
30 Aug
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 3
Mandel United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 5 5 0 0 17:5 15
2 Leuven B 5 4 0 1 13:10 12
3 Merelbeke 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
4 SK Roeselare 5 2 2 1 6:3 8
5 Thes Sport 5 2 2 1 9:7 8
6 Dessel 5 2 2 1 9:11 8
7 Tienen 5 2 1 2 12:8 7
8 Mandel United 5 2 1 2 7:5 7
9 Belisia Bilzen 5 2 1 2 10:9 7
10 Knokke 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 K. Lyra-Lierse 5 1 3 1 12:13 6
12 Heist 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
13 Cercle Brugge 2 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Hoogstraten 5 0 3 2 11:13 3
15 Zelzate 5 0 2 3 4:11 2
16 KRC Harelbeke 5 0 1 4 4:15 1
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