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Merelbeke vs SK Roeselare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merelbeke host SK Roeselare in the National Division 1 - VV. This one's hard to separate. SK Roeselare have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Merelbeke have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.52. Head-to-head, Merelbeke have won 0 to SK Roeselare's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.13, favoring SK Roeselare. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Merelbeke
30%
Draws
41%
SK Roeselare
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SK Roeselare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • SK Roeselare have won more games recently than Merelbeke.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 20%
SK Roeselare Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelbeke SK Roeselare
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 12
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.52 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs SK Roeselare
1:3
Sep 21, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
SK Roeselare vs Merelbeke
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelbeke 36 / 100
SK Roeselare 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelbeke SK Roeselare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SK Roeselare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelbeke scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: SK Roeselare conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Merelbeke went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merelbeke VS SK Roeselare
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelbeke

(Home)
18 Oct
Knokke
0 : 3
Merelbeke
11 Oct
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Mandel United
04 Oct
Tienen
0 : 0
Merelbeke
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
27 Sept
Merelbeke
0 : 1
Eupen
Page 1 of 6

SK Roeselare

(Away)
17 Oct
Hoogstraten
1 : 1
SK Roeselare
10 Oct
SK Roeselare
2 : 0
Dessel
03 Oct
K. Lyra-Lierse
0 : 3
SK Roeselare
30 Sept
SK Roeselare
0 : 1
Thes Sport
26 Sept
SK Roeselare
1 : 2
Patro Eisden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 8 7 0 1 20:8 21
2 Mandel United 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Leuven B 8 5 1 2 19:14 16
4 SK Roeselare 8 4 3 1 12:4 15
5 Merelbeke 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6 Belisia Bilzen 8 3 2 3 16:15 11
7 Heist 8 3 2 3 13:12 11
8 Dessel 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
9 Knokke 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
10 Hoogstraten 8 2 4 2 19:15 10
11 Thes Sport 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
12 Tienen 8 2 3 3 14:14 9
13 Cercle Brugge 2 8 2 2 4 11:17 8
14 K. Lyra-Lierse 8 1 3 4 13:19 6
15 KRC Harelbeke 8 1 1 6 6:23 4
16 Zelzate 8 0 3 5 7:19 3
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