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Merelbeke vs Thes Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Binst N.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Antwi M.

AI Match Summary

Merelbeke in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merelbeke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Merelbeke
35%
Draws
40%
Thes Sport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Thes Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Merelbeke have won more games recently than Thes Sport.
  • Win probability leans Merelbeke's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 14%
Thes Sport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelbeke Thes Sport
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Thes Sport
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs Merelbeke
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Thes Sport
3:0
Dec 7, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs Merelbeke
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merelbeke Compare

Top Goalscorer Antwi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Thes Sport Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelbeke 35 / 100
Thes Sport 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelbeke Thes Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelbeke's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Thes Sport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Merelbeke remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Merelbeke VS Thes Sport
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelbeke

(Home)
04 Oct
Tienen
0 : 0
Merelbeke
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
27 Sept
Merelbeke
0 : 1
Eupen
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
1 : 0
Merelbeke
Page 1 of 6

Thes Sport

(Away)
03 Oct
Thes Sport
1 : 1
Zelzate
30 Sept
SK Roeselare
0 : 1
Thes Sport
19 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 3
Leuven B
12 Sept
Heist
1 : 1
Thes Sport
05 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 0
Knokke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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