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Merelinense vs Camara de Lobos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Camara de Lobos in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Camara de Lobos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Merelinense
30%
Draws
23%
Camara de Lobos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Merelinense have won more games recently than Camara de Lobos.
  • Model gives Merelinense a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Merelinense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 68%
Camara de Lobos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelinense Camara de Lobos
Matches Played 37 26
Wins 14 5
Draws 10 3
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.49 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Camara de Lobos
1:2
Sep 4, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camara de Lobos vs Merelinense
0:4
Mar 1, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camara de Lobos vs Merelinense
0:2
Oct 13, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Camara de Lobos
3:0
Mar 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Camara de Lobos
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelinense 68 / 100
Camara de Lobos 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelinense Camara de Lobos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelinense's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Camara de Lobos has conceded goals in 100% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Merelinense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Merelinense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelinense

(Home)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
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Camara de Lobos

(Away)
08 May
Camara de Lobos
2 : 2
Vila Mea
02 May
Santa Marta Penaguiao
1 : 3
Camara de Lobos
24 Apr
Camara de Lobos
1 : 1
Camacha
10 Apr
Vila Mea
2 : 1
Camara de Lobos
03 Apr
Camara de Lobos
0 : 1
Santa Marta Penaguiao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 18 13 3 2 40:18 42
2 Maritimo B 18 11 5 2 38:20 38
3 AD Limianos 18 9 4 5 30:22 31
4 Maria de Fonte 18 8 3 7 24:21 27
5 Pedras Salgadas 18 7 5 6 22:22 26
6 Camacha 18 7 4 7 25:22 25
7 SC Vianense 18 7 1 10 23:29 22
8 Merelinense 18 5 4 9 24:30 19
9 Forjaes 18 3 4 11 27:46 13
10 Camara de Lobos 18 3 1 14 20:43 10
11 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)