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Merelinense vs Tirsense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Merelinense Logo

Merelinense

1 - 0
FT
Tirsense Logo

Tirsense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Merelinense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merelinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Merelinense
20%
Draws
28%
Tirsense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merelinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Tirsense have won more games recently than Merelinense.
  • Win probability leans Merelinense's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Merelinense Clean Sheet 68%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merelinense Tirsense
Matches Played 29 39
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Merelinense vs Tirsense
1:0
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Merelinense
2:1
Feb 12, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Merelinense vs Tirsense
2:2
Oct 2, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Tirsense vs Merelinense
2:0
Mar 20, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Merelinense vs Tirsense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merelinense 59 / 100
Tirsense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merelinense Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Merelinense scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Merelinense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Tirsense conceded in 56% of 39 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Merelinense VS Tirsense
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merelinense

(Home)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
16 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 0
Tirsense
08 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Merelinense
02 Apr
Merelinense
2 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
19 Mar
Merelinense
2 : 1
Pedras Salgadas
Page 1 of 6

Tirsense

(Away)
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1
Varzim
18 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 1
Chaves B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Vianense 26 16 5 5 37:19 53
2 Amarante FC 26 14 9 3 43:25 51
3 Tirsense 26 14 2 10 39:25 44
4 Pevidem 26 13 4 9 37:30 43
5 Vila Mea 26 11 6 9 39:30 39
6 Vilar de Perdizes 26 8 12 6 33:32 36
7 Brito 26 9 8 9 21:28 35
8 Dumiense 26 9 7 10 34:35 34
9 Merelinense 26 8 9 9 32:32 33
10 Pedras Salgadas 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
11 Desportivo Moncao 26 7 6 13 34:45 27
12 Maria de Fonte 26 6 7 13 27:45 25
13 Sao Martinho 26 5 9 12 24:34 24
14 GD Braganca 26 5 6 15 20:39 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)