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Merida UD vs AD San Juan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014
Merida UD Logo

Merida UD

1 - 1
FT
AD San Juan Logo

AD San Juan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Merida UD
30%
Draws
23%
AD San Juan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merida UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Merida UD come out ahead of AD San Juan on wins alone.
  • Merida UD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Merida UD have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 20%
AD San Juan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merida UD AD San Juan
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 23 8
Draws 7 14
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Merida UD vs AD San Juan
1:1
May 31, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
AD San Juan vs Merida UD
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merida UD 85 / 100
AD San Juan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merida UD AD San Juan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merida UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merida UD found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

AD San Juan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Merida UD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD San Juan
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Merida UD

(Home)
22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0
Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0
Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1
AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0
Real Avila
Page 1 of 7

AD San Juan

(Away)
03 Oct
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Subiza
26 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
AD San Juan
19 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Txantrea
12 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
AD San Juan
09 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Terrassa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tenerife B 4
Cerceda 1
TBD -
Varea -
San Sebastian Reyes 3
CD Marino 0
TBD -
Somozas -
Pontevedra 3
Portugalete 2
TBD -
Atletico Granadilla -
Naxara 3
CD Boiro 1
TBD -
CD Puertollano -
Jerez CF 0
Arenas Getxo 4
TBD -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
Aguilas FC 1
Union Club Ceares 2
TBD -
Trival Valderas -
Orihuela 2
Union Adarve 0
TBD -
Izarra -
Anguiano 2
Pena Deportiva 1
TBD -
Betis B -
Formentera 1
Villarrobledo 1
Paterna 2
Montanesa 5
Arandina 2
CD Alcala 0
TBD -
Eldense -
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 0
AD San Juan 1
Real Avila 0
Merida UD 3
UD Badajoz 2
Haro Deportivo 3
Atletico Monzon 0
Langreo 3
CE Europa 1
Mutilvera 0
Praviano 1
Socuellamos 3
UM Escobedo 1
Rayo Vallecano B 9
Terrassa 0
Linares 1
AD Ceuta 1
CD Laredo 3
Alaves B 3
Teruel 4
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 0
Mensajero 4
Binissalem 1
Atletico Astorga 3
SD Ejea 1
Malaga B 2
UD Almansa 0
San Roque de Lepe 2
Loja 1
Alzira 1
Osasuna B 2
Yeclano 3
Semi-finals
Tenerife B 6
Varea 5
San Sebastian Reyes 3
Somozas 3
Pontevedra 4
Atletico Granadilla 0
Naxara 1
CD Puertollano 4
Arenas Getxo 4
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 2
Union Club Ceares 2
Trival Valderas 5
Orihuela 3
Izarra 0
Anguiano 2
Betis B 4
Formentera 3
Montanesa 3
Arandina 0
Eldense 2
AD San Juan 1
Merida UD 2
Haro Deportivo 1
Langreo 2
CE Europa 0
Socuellamos 2
Rayo Vallecano B 0
Linares 2
CD Laredo 3
Teruel 1
Mensajero 4
Atletico Astorga 5
Malaga B 2
San Roque de Lepe 4
Alzira 4
Yeclano 2
Final
Tenerife B 2
Somozas 5
Pontevedra 0
CD Puertollano 2
Arenas Getxo 1
Trival Valderas 3
Orihuela 3
Betis B 4
Formentera 1
Eldense 2
Merida UD 0
Langreo 1
Socuellamos 2
Linares 1
CD Laredo 2
Atletico Astorga 2
San Roque de Lepe 3
Alzira 2