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Merida UD vs Diter Zafra

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 game between Merida UD and Diter Zafra finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diter Zafra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Merida UD
20%
Draws
0%
Diter Zafra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merida UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Merida UD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Merida UD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 20%
Diter Zafra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merida UD Diter Zafra
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 22 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 3 24
Goals Scored 2.06 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.59 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Diter Zafra
1:0
Sep 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Merida UD
1:1
May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Diter Zafra
1:2
Dec 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Merida UD
2:0
Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Merida UD
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merida UD 85 / 100
Diter Zafra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merida UD Diter Zafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merida UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merida UD scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Diter Zafra has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Difficult form: Diter Zafra registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Diter Zafra
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merida UD

(Home)
22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0
Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0
Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1
AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0
Real Avila
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Diter Zafra

(Away)
12 May
Extremadura UD B
6 : 2
Diter Zafra
07 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 3
Don Benito
30 Apr
Santa Amalia
2 : 1
Diter Zafra
23 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
4 : 0
Diter Zafra
13 Apr
Diter Zafra
3 : 4
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 8 3 75:14 89
2 UD Badajoz 38 24 8 6 67:24 80
3 Don Benito 38 23 10 5 55:23 79
4 Diter Zafra 38 22 11 5 57:23 77
5 Jerez CF 38 16 11 11 51:37 59
6 Merida UD 38 15 11 12 47:38 56
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 15 10 13 50:38 55
8 UP Plasencia 38 15 10 13 55:47 55
9 Santa Amalia 38 15 8 15 52:54 53
10 CD Coria 38 14 9 15 47:48 51
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 14 6 18 44:58 48
12 Pueblonuevo 38 11 10 17 41:60 43
13 Miajadas 38 12 7 19 40:56 43
14 RCP Valverdeno 38 11 9 18 40:56 42
15 Hernan Cortes 38 11 8 19 36:64 41
16 Cacereno II 38 10 10 18 48:57 40
17 Fuente de Cantos 38 10 9 19 42:68 39
18 Moralo 38 7 17 14 33:52 38
19 Emerita Augusta 38 8 7 23 44:77 31
20 Valdelacalzada 38 7 7 24 35:65 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)