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Merida UD vs Moralo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merida UD in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merida UD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Merida UD
35%
Draws
38%
Moralo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moralo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Moralo have won more games recently than Merida UD.
  • Win probability leans Merida UD's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 18%
Moralo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merida UD Moralo
Matches Played 33 42
Wins 23 26
Draws 7 10
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.97 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Moralo
5:1
Jan 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Merida UD
1:1
Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Moralo
2:0
Oct 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Merida UD
2:2
May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Moralo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merida UD 36 / 100
Moralo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merida UD Moralo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Merida UD scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Merida UD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Moralo conceded in 50% of 42 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moralo
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Merida UD

(Home)
22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0
Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0
Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1
AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0
Real Avila
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Moralo

(Away)
04 Oct
Moralo
1 : 1
Gevora
27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Moralo
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0
CD Zafra
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1
Villanovense
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 8 3 75:14 89
2 UD Badajoz 38 24 8 6 67:24 80
3 Don Benito 38 23 10 5 55:23 79
4 Diter Zafra 38 22 11 5 57:23 77
5 Jerez CF 38 16 11 11 51:37 59
6 Merida UD 38 15 11 12 47:38 56
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 15 10 13 50:38 55
8 UP Plasencia 38 15 10 13 55:47 55
9 Santa Amalia 38 15 8 15 52:54 53
10 CD Coria 38 14 9 15 47:48 51
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 14 6 18 44:58 48
12 Pueblonuevo 38 11 10 17 41:60 43
13 Miajadas 38 12 7 19 40:56 43
14 RCP Valverdeno 38 11 9 18 40:56 42
15 Hernan Cortes 38 11 8 19 36:64 41
16 Cacereno II 38 10 10 18 48:57 40
17 Fuente de Cantos 38 10 9 19 42:68 39
18 Moralo 38 7 17 14 33:52 38
19 Emerita Augusta 38 8 7 23 44:77 31
20 Valdelacalzada 38 7 7 24 35:65 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)