Sport Picks
Merida UD vs Pueblonuevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 game between Merida UD and Pueblonuevo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merida UD.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Merida UD
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pueblonuevo haven't matched Merida UD's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Merida UD's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Merida UD here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 19%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Merida UD | Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 42 |
| Wins | 23 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 3 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.61 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Pueblonuevo
1:0
Aug 25, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Merida UD
2:3
Apr 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Pueblonuevo
2:0
Dec 2, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Merida UD
0:1
Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Pueblonuevo
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Merida UD 85 / 100
Pueblonuevo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Merida UD Pueblonuevo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Merida UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Merida UD scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.
Pueblonuevo has conceded goals in 74% of their last 42 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Merida UD has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pueblonuevo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Merida UD
(Home) 22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0 Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0 Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1 AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1 Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0 Real Avila
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15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0 Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1 AD San Juan
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0 Real Avila
04 May
Merida UD
1 : 1 Castuera
27 Apr
Merida UD
3 : 1 Jerez CF
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Pueblonuevo
(Away) 03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1 Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1 Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
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27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1 Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1 Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 75:14 | 89 |
| 2 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 55:23 | 79 |
| 4 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 57:23 | 77 |
| 5 | Jerez CF | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 51:37 | 59 |
| 6 | Merida UD | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47:38 | 56 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:38 | 55 |
| 8 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55:47 | 55 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Coria | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 11 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:58 | 48 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:60 | 43 |
| 13 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:56 | 43 |
| 14 | RCP Valverdeno | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40:56 | 42 |
| 15 | Hernan Cortes | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 36:64 | 41 |
| 16 | Cacereno II | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:68 | 39 |
| 18 | Moralo | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 33:52 | 38 |
| 19 | Emerita Augusta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 44:77 | 31 |
| 20 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35:65 | 28 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
