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Merignac W vs Lorient W

France France

Division 2 Women 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 Women 2015/2016 game between Merignac W and Lorient W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Merignac W
15%
Draws
0%
Lorient W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merignac W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Merignac W haven't matched Lorient W's recent run of results.
  • Lorient W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Division 2 Women 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Merignac W Clean Sheet 10%
Lorient W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merignac W Lorient W
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 1 4
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 0.36 0.67
Goals Conceded 3.95 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 3.60 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2016 Seconde Ligue Women
Merignac W vs Lorient W
1:1
Oct 4, 2015 Seconde Ligue Women
Lorient W vs Merignac W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merignac W 18 / 100
Lorient W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merignac W Lorient W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Lorient W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Merignac W's goal record stands at 23% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Merignac W VS Lorient W
0 Goals Scored 0.67
3.5 Goals Conceded 6
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Merignac W

(Home)
09 Sept
Bordeaux W
11 : 0
Merignac W
26 Aug
Bordeaux W
10 : 0
Merignac W
22 May
Marseille W
7 : 0
Merignac W
08 May
Merignac W
3 : 1
Yzeure Allier W
24 Apr
Albi-Marssac W
7 : 0
Merignac W
Page 1 of 5

Lorient W

(Away)
11 Jan
Lorient W
1 : 7
Le Mans W
12 Jan
La Roche W
2 : 1
Lorient W
09 Jan
Lorient W
0 : 9
Paris FC W
20 May
Metz W
4 : 0
Lorient W
13 May
Lorient W
1 : 4
Brest W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metz W 22 17 4 1 74:14 55
2 Arras W 22 16 1 5 41:17 49
3 Val d'Orge W 22 14 2 6 55:27 44
4 Vendenheim W 22 12 5 5 47:17 41
5 Reims W 22 10 6 6 41:30 36
6 Lille W 22 11 3 8 48:27 36
7 Nancy W 22 9 7 6 45:27 34
8 Henin W 22 6 7 9 28:28 25
9 Saint-Denis W 22 6 1 15 25:62 19
10 Lillers W 22 4 5 13 27:47 17
11 Rouvroy W 22 2 7 13 12:48 13
12 Mars Bischheim W 22 0 2 20 12:111 2
Promotion - Division 2 Women 2016/2017 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bordeaux W 22 17 4 1 74:14 55
2 Yzeure Allier W 22 17 4 1 55:12 55
3 Saint-Malo W 22 13 5 4 51:19 44
4 Rouen W 22 12 5 5 47:26 41
5 Lorient W 22 10 6 6 41:39 36
6 Le Mans W 22 10 3 9 47:33 33
7 Angers W 22 10 2 10 40:36 32
8 Issy W 22 9 4 9 53:41 31
9 Merignac W 22 5 5 12 34:43 20
10 Tremblay FC W 22 4 4 14 28:49 16
11 Conde-sur-Noireau W 22 2 3 17 14:70 9
12 Quimper W 22 0 1 21 6:108 1
Promotion - Division 2 Women 2016/2017 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 22 20 2 0 66:14 62
2 Dijon W 22 16 1 5 57:16 49
3 Toulouse W 22 15 1 6 60:25 46
4 Grenoble W 22 13 5 4 69:17 44
5 Aurillac W 22 11 5 6 52:35 38
6 Le Puy W 22 8 3 11 30:42 27
7 Monteux W 22 7 3 12 27:54 24
8 Veore Montoison W 22 7 2 13 20:34 23
9 Nivolas W 22 5 6 11 20:52 21
10 FAMF Marseille W 22 6 2 14 28:59 20
11 Macon W 22 3 6 13 25:60 15
12 Nivolet W 22 2 2 18 15:61 8
Promotion - Division 2 Women 2016/2017 (Main)