Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merikh Kosti vs El-Ahli Atbara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2018 game between Merikh Kosti and El-Ahli Atbara finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El-Ahli Atbara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Merikh Kosti
15%
Draws
0%
El-Ahli Atbara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merikh Kosti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El-Ahli Atbara come out ahead of Merikh Kosti on wins alone.
  • Merikh Kosti are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Merikh Kosti Clean Sheet 20%
El-Ahli Atbara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merikh Kosti El-Ahli Atbara
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 0.8 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2018 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs El-Ahli Atbara
0:2
Aug 13, 2018 Premier League
El-Ahli Atbara vs Merikh Kosti
3:0
Nov 22, 2017 Premier League
El-Ahli Atbara vs Merikh Kosti
2:0
Jul 31, 2017 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs El-Ahli Atbara
1:0
Oct 11, 2016 Premier League
El-Ahli Atbara vs Merikh Kosti
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merikh Kosti 85 / 100
El-Ahli Atbara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merikh Kosti El-Ahli Atbara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merikh Kosti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El-Ahli Atbara let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

El-Ahli Atbara's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Merikh Kosti's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Merikh Kosti VS El-Ahli Atbara
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merikh Kosti

(Home)
13 Feb
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2
Umm Mughad
10 Feb
Merikh Kosti
2 : 3
Madani
06 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5
Merikh Kosti
02 Feb
Al Hilal Manaqil
0 : 0
Merikh Kosti
29 Jan
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2
Rabita Kosti
Page 1 of 6

El-Ahli Atbara

(Away)
16 Oct
Al Khartoum
5 : 1
El-Ahli Atbara
13 Oct
El-Ahli Atbara
0 : 3
Hay al Arab
06 Oct
Al Merreikh
4 : 1
El-Ahli Atbara
04 Oct
Al Ahly Merowe
1 : 0
El-Ahli Atbara
01 Oct
El-Ahli Atbara
0 : 2
Ahli Khartoum
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alamal SC Atbara 18 9 6 3 22:12 33
2 Wad Hashim Sennar 18 7 8 3 22:19 29
3 Al Shorta 18 7 7 4 23:17 28
4 Hay Al Wadi 18 7 6 5 17:14 27
5 Al Hilal Kadougli 18 6 8 4 16:12 26
6 Ahli Khartoum 18 6 8 4 19:16 26
7 El-Ahli Atbara 18 6 6 6 20:22 24
8 Kober 18 6 5 7 22:21 23
9 Merikh Kosti 18 5 4 9 16:23 19
10 Merikh Nyala 18 1 2 15 13:34 5
Relegation - Premier League 2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2018 (Relegation)