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Merikh Nyala vs Al Shorta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shorta in this Premier League 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Shorta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Merikh Nyala
35%
Draws
46%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Shorta have won more games recently than Merikh Nyala.
  • Model gives Al Shorta a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Shorta have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Merikh Nyala Clean Sheet 16%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merikh Nyala Al Shorta
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 3 16
Draws 5 10
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.77 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2018 Premier League
Merikh Nyala vs Al Shorta
1:2
Aug 6, 2018 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Merikh Nyala
2:0
Oct 26, 2017 Premier League
Merikh Nyala vs Al Shorta
1:0
Apr 3, 2017 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Merikh Nyala
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merikh Nyala 15 / 100
Al Shorta 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merikh Nyala Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merikh Nyala scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Al Shorta let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Merikh Nyala went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merikh Nyala VS Al Shorta
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Merikh Nyala

(Home)
19 Feb
Merikh Nyala
1 : 2
Haidob Al Nuhod
14 Feb
Merikh Nyala
1 : 1
Rabita Kosti
10 Feb
Al Merreikh Obeid
3 : 2
Merikh Nyala
07 Feb
Merikh Nyala
1 : 1
Hilal El-Fasher
04 Feb
Merikh Nyala
0 : 3
Zamala Ruwaba
Page 1 of 6

Al Shorta

(Away)
14 Feb
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Kober
11 Feb
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
07 Feb
Al Shorta
2 : 2
Al Taqadom
04 Feb
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman II
28 Jan
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Mergheni
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alamal SC Atbara 18 9 6 3 22:12 33
2 Wad Hashim Sennar 18 7 8 3 22:19 29
3 Al Shorta 18 7 7 4 23:17 28
4 Hay Al Wadi 18 7 6 5 17:14 27
5 Al Hilal Kadougli 18 6 8 4 16:12 26
6 Ahli Khartoum 18 6 8 4 19:16 26
7 El-Ahli Atbara 18 6 6 6 20:22 24
8 Kober 18 6 5 7 22:21 23
9 Merikh Kosti 18 5 4 9 16:23 19
10 Merikh Nyala 18 1 2 15 13:34 5
Relegation - Premier League 2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2018 (Relegation)