Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2016/2017

Zenit Tallinn

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Merkuur Tartu play Zenit Tallinn in the Estonian Cup 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Merkuur Tartu averaged 2.1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Zenit Tallinn averaged 2.75 goals scored and 4.25 conceded. In past meetings, Merkuur Tartu won 1, Zenit Tallinn won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 22, 2016 ended 6:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.34 for Merkuur Tartu and 4.00 for Zenit Tallinn. This points to a Merkuur Tartu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Merkuur Tartu

15%

Draws

42%

Zenit Tallinn

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merkuur Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Merkuur Tartu picked up more points recently compared to Zenit Tallinn.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.34 vs 4.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 96%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 48%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%

Merkuur Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Zenit Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Merkuur Tartu	Zenit Tallinn
Matches Played	30	16
Wins	11	8
Draws	5	0
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	2.1	2.75
Goals Conceded	2.6	4.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.80	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	5.40	3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2016 Estonian Cup

Merkuur Tartu vs Zenit Tallinn

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

6:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merkuur Tartu 41 / 100

Zenit Tallinn 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Merkuur Tartu Zenit Tallinn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Merkuur Tartu or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8%

1.35

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Merkuur Tartu attacking → ← attacking Zenit Tallinn

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merkuur Tartu scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Zenit Tallinn let in goals in 94% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

Merkuur Tartu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zenit Tallinn lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 24

2.80 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

5.40 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88