Sport Picks

Sudan

Premier League 2020/2021

Merreikh El-Fasher

1 - 0

Ahli Shendi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2020/2021 game between Merreikh El-Fasher and Ahli Shendi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merreikh El-Fasher.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Merreikh El-Fasher

28%

Draws

22%

Ahli Shendi

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Merreikh El-Fasher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Ahli Shendi come out ahead of Merreikh El-Fasher on wins alone.
Merreikh El-Fasher are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%

Merreikh El-Fasher Clean Sheet 20%

Ahli Shendi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Merreikh El-Fasher	Ahli Shendi
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	6	9
Draws	6	8
Losses	18	19
Goals Scored	0	0.63
Goals Conceded	0	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2021 Premier League

Merreikh El-Fasher vs Ahli Shendi

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Feb 13, 2021 Premier League

Ahli Shendi vs Merreikh El-Fasher

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Feb 15, 2020 Premier League

Merreikh El-Fasher vs Ahli Shendi

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Sep 26, 2019 Premier League

Ahli Shendi vs Merreikh El-Fasher

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Jun 20, 2019 Premier League

Ahli Shendi vs Merreikh El-Fasher

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merreikh El-Fasher 49 / 100

Ahli Shendi 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Merreikh El-Fasher Ahli Shendi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahli Shendi has conceded goals in 64% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Ahli Shendi's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Merreikh El-Fasher found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Ahli Shendi

0 Goals Scored 0.63

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Omdurman	30	25	4	1	75:10	79
2	Al-Merreikh	30	20	8	2	50:16	68
3	Hay Al Wadi	30	12	11	7	35:25	47
4	Hay al-Arab	30	11	9	10	26:32	42
5	Al-Khartoum	30	11	8	11	34:34	41
6	Hilal El Obied	30	10	11	9	25:32	41
7	Alamal SC Atbara	30	10	9	11	25:29	39
8	Al-Ahly Merowe	30	9	11	10	24:28	38
9	Hilal El-Fasher	30	10	8	12	35:41	38
10	Hilal Alsahil	30	10	5	15	27:33	35
11	Al Shorta	30	8	11	11	26:36	35
12	Ahli Shendi	30	9	7	14	21:27	34
13	Tuti	30	8	9	13	24:39	33
14	Ahli Khartoum	30	7	11	12	17:28	32
15	Al Hilal Kadougli	30	5	10	15	22:39	25
16	Merreikh El-Fasher	30	6	6	18	15:32	24