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Merreikh El-Fasher vs Hay Al Wadi

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merreikh El-Fasher play Hay Al Wadi in the Premier League 2020/2021. Merreikh El-Fasher are favorites here. Recently, Merreikh El-Fasher averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Hay Al Wadi averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Merreikh El-Fasher won 1, Hay Al Wadi won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 28, 2021 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Merreikh El-Fasher and 1.00 for Hay Al Wadi. This points to a Merreikh El-Fasher double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Merreikh El-Fasher
25%
Draws
15%
Hay Al Wadi
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Merreikh El-Fasher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Merreikh El-Fasher picked up more points recently compared to Hay Al Wadi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Merreikh El-Fasher Clean Sheet 23%
Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merreikh El-Fasher Hay Al Wadi
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 14
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2021 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Hay Al Wadi
2:3
Dec 28, 2020 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Merreikh El-Fasher
0:1
Mar 10, 2020 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Hay Al Wadi
1:1
Oct 26, 2019 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Merreikh El-Fasher
0:0
Jul 5, 2019 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Merreikh El-Fasher
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merreikh El-Fasher 59 / 100
Hay Al Wadi 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merreikh El-Fasher Hay Al Wadi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merreikh El-Fasher Win (1)
Secondary Pick Merreikh El-Fasher & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Merreikh El-Fasher attacking → ← attacking Hay Al Wadi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merreikh El-Fasher scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Hay Al Wadi let in goals in 73% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Merreikh El-Fasher went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Hay Al Wadi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 59
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman30254175:1079
2Al-Merreikh30208250:1668
3Hay Al Wadi301211735:2547
4Hay al-Arab301191026:3242
5Al-Khartoum301181134:3441
6Hilal El Obied301011925:3241
7Alamal SC Atbara301091125:2939
8Al-Ahly Merowe309111024:2838
9Hilal El-Fasher301081235:4138
10Hilal Alsahil301051527:3335
11Al Shorta308111126:3635
12Ahli Shendi30971421:2734
13Tuti30891324:3933
14Ahli Khartoum307111217:2832
15Al Hilal Kadougli305101522:3925
16Merreikh El-Fasher30661815:3224