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Mersin vs Afyonspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Karakullukcu O.
59' Event
Karakullukcu O.
81' Event
Asliyuksek E.

AI Match Summary

Afyonspor in this 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afyonspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Mersin
20%
Draws
70%
Afyonspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afyonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Afyonspor lately — more wins on the board than Mersin.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Afyonspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mersin Clean Sheet 20%
Afyonspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mersin Afyonspor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 6
Draws 1 7
Losses 28 18
Goals Scored 0.6 1.19
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 2. Lig Red Group
Mersin vs Afyonspor
0:6
Sep 10, 2017 2. Lig Red Group
Afyonspor vs Mersin
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mersin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Afyonspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Karakullukcu O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Asliyuksek E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mersin 10 / 100
Afyonspor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mersin Afyonspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afyonspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afyonspor has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Mersin scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Mersin went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Afyonspor
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mersin

(Home)
05 May
Mersin
0 : 7
Sancaktepe
29 Apr
Inegolspor
5 : 0
Mersin
22 Apr
Mersin
1 : 2
Sariyer
14 Apr
Korfez SK
2 : 2
Mersin
08 Apr
Mersin
0 : 8
Eyupspor
Page 1 of 6

Afyonspor

(Away)
18 Apr
Altay
2 : 0
Afyonspor
12 Apr
Afyonspor
4 : 1
Tire 2021 FK
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0
Nazillispor
02 Apr
Soke 1970
5 : 2
Afyonspor
24 Mar
Afyonspor
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hatayspor 34 23 7 4 63:15 76
2 Menemenspor 34 22 8 4 68:26 74
3 Afyonspor 34 21 7 6 62:31 70
4 Sivas Dort 34 19 10 5 57:29 67
5 Keciorengucu 34 19 7 8 77:41 64
6 Sancaktepe 34 16 11 7 58:32 59
7 Inegolspor 34 17 8 9 53:41 59
8 Sariyer 34 13 5 16 44:45 44
9 Tokatspor 34 11 10 13 37:45 43
10 Etimesgut 34 11 9 14 44:47 42
11 Kastamonuspor 34 12 4 18 46:49 40
12 Eyupspor 34 11 6 17 52:62 39
13 Tuzlaspor 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
14 Bodrumspor 34 10 8 16 39:53 38
15 Amedspor 34 10 10 14 37:41 37
16 Bucaspor 34 10 9 15 51:60 36
17 Korfez SK 34 4 4 26 30:78 13
18 Mersin 34 1 1 32 19:133 -20
Promotion - 1. Lig 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)