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Mersin vs Tokatspor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Turkoz R.
57' Event
Keles E.
76' Event
Erkan T. S.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 game between Mersin and Tokatspor finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tokatspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mersin
15%
Draws
0%
Tokatspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mersin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tokatspor come out ahead of Mersin on wins alone.
  • Tokatspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mersin Clean Sheet 25%
Tokatspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mersin Tokatspor
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 8
Draws 1 5
Losses 28 19
Goals Scored 0.6 0.84
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 2. Lig Red Group
Mersin vs Tokatspor
0:4
Oct 1, 2017 2. Lig Red Group
Tokatspor vs Mersin
2:0
Nov 27, 2012 Turkish Cup
Tokatspor vs Mersin
0:1
Apr 5, 2009 TFF 2. Lig Group 1
Tokatspor vs Mersin
1:0
Feb 1, 2009 TFF 2. Lig Group 1
Mersin vs Tokatspor
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mersin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Tokatspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Turkoz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keles E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mersin 10 / 100
Tokatspor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mersin Tokatspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tokatspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tokatspor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Tokatspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Mersin found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Tokatspor
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mersin

(Home)
05 May
Mersin
0 : 7
Sancaktepe
29 Apr
Inegolspor
5 : 0
Mersin
22 Apr
Mersin
1 : 2
Sariyer
14 Apr
Korfez SK
2 : 2
Mersin
08 Apr
Mersin
0 : 8
Eyupspor
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Tokatspor

(Away)
01 May
Kahta
4 : 0
Tokatspor
25 Apr
Tokatspor
1 : 5
Ceyhanspor
21 Apr
Fethiyespor
2 : 0
Tokatspor
14 Apr
Tokatspor
0 : 2
Yomraspor
08 Apr
Tepecik
4 : 1
Tokatspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hatayspor 34 23 7 4 63:15 76
2 Menemenspor 34 22 8 4 68:26 74
3 Afyonspor 34 21 7 6 62:31 70
4 Sivas Dort 34 19 10 5 57:29 67
5 Keciorengucu 34 19 7 8 77:41 64
6 Sancaktepe 34 16 11 7 58:32 59
7 Inegolspor 34 17 8 9 53:41 59
8 Sariyer 34 13 5 16 44:45 44
9 Tokatspor 34 11 10 13 37:45 43
10 Etimesgut 34 11 9 14 44:47 42
11 Kastamonuspor 34 12 4 18 46:49 40
12 Eyupspor 34 11 6 17 52:62 39
13 Tuzlaspor 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
14 Bodrumspor 34 10 8 16 39:53 38
15 Amedspor 34 10 10 14 37:41 37
16 Bucaspor 34 10 9 15 51:60 36
17 Korfez SK 34 4 4 26 30:78 13
18 Mersin 34 1 1 32 19:133 -20
Promotion - 1. Lig 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)