Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mersrags vs Caramba

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caramba in this Latvian Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 0-8. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mersrags
15%
Draws
51%
Caramba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caramba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caramba lately — more wins on the board than Mersrags.
  • Caramba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Caramba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Caramba, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mersrags Clean Sheet 10%
Caramba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mersrags Caramba
Matches Played 5 16
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 1 3.56
Goals Conceded 5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2016 Latvian Cup
Mersrags vs Caramba
0:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mersrags 10 / 100
Caramba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mersrags Caramba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caramba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Mersrags scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Caramba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 16 matches.

Recent resilience: Mersrags stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mersrags VS Caramba
1.25 Goals Scored 3.38
5.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mersrags

(Home)
09 Jul
Mersrags
0 : 8
Caramba
02 Jul
DSVK Traktors
2 : 3
Mersrags
30 Jun
Mersrags
0 : 10
RFS
08 Jun
Mersrags
2 : 1
Brali
06 Jun
Ozolnieki
4 : 0
Mersrags

Caramba

(Away)
31 Jul
FK Auda Riga
3 : 1
Caramba
17 Jul
Caramba
11 : 0
Valka
04 Jul
Caramba
2 : 0
FK Alberts
04 Aug
Caramba
1 : 2
FK Karosta
13 Jul
Alberts JDFS
0 : 1
Caramba
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 3
FK Salacgriva 0
TBD -
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Caramba -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
Mersrags -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
Upesciems 1
TBD -
Saldus -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
Aliance -
TBD -
Salaspils FK 0
SK Cesis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Dinamo Riga 1
Ludzas SK 0
TBD -
Jekabpils SC -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele -
Fortuna / Ogre -
TBD -
Grobina 3
Kraslava 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
Plavinas 1
Nica FC 2
Igate/Tami-Tami 4
Riga United 1
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Bebri -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 2
FK Dobele 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
1/32-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 6
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 0
FK Smiltene 1
Rezekne 2
Caramba 6
FK Alberts 0
DSVK Traktors 2
Mersrags 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
Saldus -
Valmiera 0
SK Babite 6
Ogre 1
Preilu BJSS 0
Aliance 1
SK Cesis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 3
Alberts JDFS 0
Dinamo Riga 0
Jekabpils SC 2
Skonto 17
JFC Dobele 0
Fortuna / Ogre 0
Kraslava 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 3
Nica FC 1
Igate/Tami-Tami 0
Tukums 2000 6
Bebri 6
FK Dobele 2
TBD -
Lielupe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
1/16-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 1
Rezekne 16
Caramba 8
Mersrags 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Metta -
TBD -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 0
SK Babite 3
Ogre 4
SK Cesis 0
TBD -
RFS -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 1
Jekabpils SC 2
Skonto 5
Kraslava 0
TBD -
Jelgava -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 2
Tukums 2000 4
Bebri 8
Lielupe 1
TBD -
Riga FC -
1/8-finals
Ventspils 2
Rezekne 0
Caramba 2
FK Liepaja 5
FK Metta 2
SK Babite 0
Ogre 0
RFS 7
Spartaks Jurmala 10
Jekabpils SC 0
Skonto 0
Jelgava 2
BFC Daugavpils 1
Tukums 2000 0
Bebri 0
Riga FC 4
Quarter-finals
Ventspils 3
FK Liepaja 0
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Jelgava 0
BFC Daugavpils 0
Riga FC 3
Semi-finals
Ventspils 2
RFS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Riga FC 4
Final
Ventspils 3
Riga FC 2