Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merstham vs Carshalton

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carshalton in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carshalton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Merstham
6%
Draws
90%
Carshalton
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Carshalton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carshalton lately — more wins on the board than Merstham.
  • Model gives Carshalton a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Carshalton have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Merstham Clean Sheet 20%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merstham Carshalton
Matches Played 33 39
Wins 6 12
Draws 3 12
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Merstham vs Carshalton
1:4
Jul 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Carshalton vs Merstham
2:1
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Merstham vs Carshalton
3:5
Apr 23, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Merstham vs Carshalton
1:2
Dec 11, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Merstham
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merstham 10 / 100
Carshalton 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merstham Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carshalton has conceded goals in 87% of their last 39 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Merstham's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Merstham stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carshalton
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Merstham

(Home)
06 Sept
Kingstonian
1 : 0
Merstham
02 Aug
Merstham
1 : 4
Carshalton
12 Jul
Bedfont Sports
0 : 0
Merstham
05 Jul
Walton & Hersham
0 : 0
Merstham
14 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1
Merstham
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Carshalton

(Away)
18 Jul
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Carshalton
11 Jul
Carshalton
0 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
04 Jul
Carshalton
4 : 0
Bromley
25 Apr
Carshalton
1 : 0
St. Albans
18 Apr
Aveley
0 : 0
Carshalton
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