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Merten vs Fortuna Koln II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Fortuna Koln II in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortuna Koln II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Merten
15%
Draws
46%
Fortuna Koln II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Koln II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Merten have won more games recently than Fortuna Koln II.
  • Win probability leans Merten's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Merten Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Koln II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merten Fortuna Koln II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 3 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Fortuna Koln II
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs Merten
2:2
Jun 1, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs Merten
2:4
Nov 17, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Fortuna Koln II
2:0
Jul 22, 2021 Club Friendly
Merten vs Fortuna Koln II
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merten 74 / 100
Fortuna Koln II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merten Fortuna Koln II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merten found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Fortuna Koln II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Merten remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Merten VS Fortuna Koln II
3.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Merten

(Home)
04 Oct
Merten
6 : 1
Eintracht Hohkeppel
27 Sept
Bornheim
4 : 3
Merten
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
VfL Vichttal
2 : 2
Merten
06 Sept
Merten
5 : 0
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
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Fortuna Koln II

(Away)
04 Oct
Hennef
0 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
27 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
3 : 1
Siegburger
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
30 Aug
Fortuna Koln II
3 : 2
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)