Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mertert/Wasserbillig vs Oberkorn

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oberkorn in this Luxembourg Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mertert/Wasserbillig
6%
Draws
4%
Oberkorn
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mertert/Wasserbillig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mertert/Wasserbillig lately — more wins on the board than Oberkorn.
  • Win probability leans Mertert/Wasserbillig's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mertert/Wasserbillig have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oberkorn, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mertert/Wasserbillig Clean Sheet 20%
Oberkorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mertert/Wasserbillig Oberkorn
Matches Played 23 18
Wins 10 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
Oberkorn vs Mertert/Wasserbillig
1:5
Mar 17, 2010 Luxembourg Cup
Mertert/Wasserbillig vs Oberkorn
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mertert/Wasserbillig 85 / 100
Oberkorn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mertert/Wasserbillig Oberkorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oberkorn has conceded goals in 83% of their last 18 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Mertert/Wasserbillig scored in 61% of their last 23 outings.

Difficult form: Oberkorn registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mertert/Wasserbillig VS Oberkorn
2.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mertert/Wasserbillig

(Home)
06 Oct
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 3
Schifflange
03 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1 : 0
Mertert/Wasserbillig
18 Oct
Echternach
1 : 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig
10 Nov
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 2
Dudelange
22 Sept
Jeunesse Schieren
1 : 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig
Page 1 of 5

Oberkorn

(Away)
19 Sept
Oberkorn
0 : 3
Hesperange
06 Oct
Oberkorn
0 : 1
Racing Luxembourg
01 Oct
Oberkorn
1 : 4
Lorentzweiler
03 Oct
Oberkorn
0 : 4
Dudelange
18 Oct
Oberkorn
2 : 1
Esch
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Grevenmacher4
Mertzig2
Jeunesse Schieren0
Clemency2
Rumelange3
Wiltz2
Racing Luxembourg1
Jeunesse Canach2
Dudelange3
Erpeldange1
Mondorf0
Luxembourg City2
Kaerjeng3
Schifflange1
Avenir Beggen1
Fola2
Ettelbruck1
Steinfort0
Lintgen1
CS Petange3
Diekirch3
Jeunesse Esch2
Esch0
Hesperange1
Mondercange4
Echternach2
Gasperich0
Progres Niedercorn7
Oberkorn1
Mertert/Wasserbillig0
Bissen1
Differdange6
1/8-finals
Grevenmacher4
Clemency1
Rumelange0
Jeunesse Canach1
Dudelange2
Luxembourg City1
Kaerjeng2
Fola4
Ettelbruck2
CS Petange1
Diekirch1
Hesperange2
Mondercange1
Progres Niedercorn0
Oberkorn0
Differdange3
Quarter-finals
Grevenmacher4
Jeunesse Canach2
Dudelange2
Fola3
Ettelbruck2
Hesperange1
Mondercange0
Differdange3
Semi-finals
Grevenmacher5
Fola1
Ettelbruck1
Differdange3
Final
Grevenmacher0
Differdange1