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Merthyr Town vs Cambrian United

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
22' Event
Pearson S.
56' Event

AI Match Summary

Merthyr Town in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merthyr Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Merthyr Town
28%
Draws
50%
Cambrian United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cambrian United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Cambrian United have won more games recently than Merthyr Town.
  • Model gives Cambrian United a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 10%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merthyr Town Cambrian United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 22
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Merthyr Town vs Cambrian United
4:2
Sep 17, 2014 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Merthyr Town
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merthyr Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Pearson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spiers W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cambrian United Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merthyr Town 22 / 100
Cambrian United 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merthyr Town Cambrian United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Merthyr Town scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Cambrian United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Merthyr Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merthyr Town VS Cambrian United
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%