Sport Picks
Merthyr Town vs Harrow Borough
England
Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 
Match Events
1'
1'
Handley T.
3'
3'
Talla L.
10'
10'
Rees R.
AI Match Summary
Merthyr Town in this Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merthyr Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harrow Borough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Harrow Borough have won more games recently than Merthyr Town.
- Win probability leans Harrow Borough's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 20%
Harrow Borough Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Merthyr Town | Harrow Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Merthyr Town vs Harrow Borough
7:1
Nov 18, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Merthyr Town
1:2
Mar 4, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Merthyr Town
1:2
Oct 22, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Merthyr Town vs Harrow Borough
2:2
Mar 26, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Harrow Borough vs Merthyr Town
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Merthyr Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Rees R.
5 Goals Assists Leader Handley T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
Harrow Borough Compare
Top Goalscorer Talla L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Merthyr Town 20 / 100
Harrow Borough 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Merthyr Town Harrow Borough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harrow Borough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Merthyr Town scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Harrow Borough conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Merthyr Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Merthyr Town VS Harrow Borough
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Merthyr Town
(Home) 22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Merthyr Town
2 : 1 Macclesfield
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
05 Sept
Merthyr Town
2 : 1 Macclesfield
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
18 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 2 Telford
08 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 0 Hednesford
Page 1 of 4
Harrow Borough
(Away) 13 Dec
Leatherhead
3 : 2 Harrow Borough
15 Nov
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Harrow Borough
25 Oct
Stanway Rovers
1 : 2 Harrow Borough
04 Oct
Harrow Borough
3 : 1 FC Witham Town
20 Sept
Harrow Borough
4 : 0 Jersey Bulls
Page 1 of 6
13 Dec
Leatherhead
3 : 2 Harrow Borough
15 Nov
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Harrow Borough
25 Oct
Stanway Rovers
1 : 2 Harrow Borough
07 Sept
Sevenoaks
3 : 0 Harrow Borough
27 Apr
Merthyr Town
7 : 1 Harrow Borough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chesham | 42 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 83:46 | 90 |
| 2 | AFC Totton | 42 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 89:45 | 81 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 42 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 70:46 | 79 |
| 4 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 75:43 | 78 |
| 5 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 84:71 | 68 |
| 6 | Merthyr Town | 42 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 85:59 | 67 |
| 7 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 78:67 | 65 |
| 8 | Hungerford | 42 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 77:70 | 64 |
| 9 | Dorchester | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 66:77 | 60 |
| 10 | Hendon | 42 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 70:65 | 58 |
| 11 | Winchester City | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 63:67 | 57 |
| 12 | Basingstoke | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 69:83 | 53 |
| 13 | Poole Town | 42 | 16 | 4 | 22 | 70:76 | 52 |
| 14 | Tiverton | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 64:74 | 52 |
| 15 | Sholing | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 52:63 | 49 |
| 16 | Swindon Supermarine | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 73:92 | 49 |
| 17 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 48 |
| 18 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 60:68 | 48 |
| 19 | Beaconsfield Town | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 63:78 | 48 |
| 20 | Hayes & Yeading | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 59:67 | 46 |
| 21 | Harrow Borough | 42 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 60:97 | 39 |
| 22 | Didcot | 42 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 45:94 | 28 |
Promotion - National League South 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
