Sport Picks
Merthyr Town vs Histon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern Premier League 2015/2016 
Match Events
66'
66'
(Penalty)
71'
71'
90'
90'
AI Match Summary
The Southern Premier League 2015/2016 game between Merthyr Town and Histon finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merthyr Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merthyr Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Merthyr Town come out ahead of Histon on wins alone.
- Merthyr Town are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Merthyr Town here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 20%
Histon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Merthyr Town | Histon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 2.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 26, 2016 Southern Premier League
Histon vs Merthyr Town
0:2
Jan 9, 2016 Southern Premier League
Merthyr Town vs Histon
3:0
Mar 19, 2005 Southern Premier League
Merthyr Town vs Histon
0:3
Sep 11, 2004 Southern Premier League
Histon vs Merthyr Town
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Merthyr Town 76 / 100
Histon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Merthyr Town Histon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Merthyr Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Merthyr Town found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Histon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Difficult form: Histon registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Merthyr Town VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Merthyr Town
(Home) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
05 Sept
Merthyr Town
2 : 1 Macclesfield
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
18 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 2 Telford
Page 1 of 4
Histon
(Away) 30 Aug
Histon
2 : 3 Mulbarton Wanderers
13 Jul
Histon
1 : 2 Hitchin
09 Oct
Corby
5 : 3 Histon
17 Oct
Histon
1 : 2 Leek Town
16 Oct
Corby
4 : 1 Histon
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Corby
5 : 3 Histon
16 Oct
Corby
4 : 1 Histon
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 2 Histon
08 Oct
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
1 : 1 Histon
17 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0 Histon
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 46 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 86:35 | 93 |
| 2 | Redditch | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 82:37 | 84 |
| 3 | Hitchin | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 78:50 | 84 |
| 4 | Hungerford | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 73:43 | 83 |
| 5 | Leamington | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 59:38 | 81 |
| 6 | Kettering | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 83:53 | 80 |
| 7 | Weymouth | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 63:39 | 77 |
| 8 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 76:53 | 76 |
| 9 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 58:54 | 70 |
| 10 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 69:58 | 66 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 72:70 | 64 |
| 12 | Dunstable Town | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 68:68 | 62 |
| 13 | Dorchester | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 67:69 | 62 |
| 14 | Biggleswade Town | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 76:82 | 60 |
| 15 | Cirencester | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 67:76 | 60 |
| 16 | Frome Town | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51:73 | 58 |
| 17 | Slough Town | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67:77 | 57 |
| 18 | Cambridge City | 46 | 15 | 7 | 24 | 63:80 | 52 |
| 19 | Stratford | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 59:68 | 50 |
| 20 | Neots | 46 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 69:78 | 48 |
| 21 | Bedworth United | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 58:107 | 44 |
| 22 | Histon | 46 | 11 | 7 | 28 | 63:98 | 40 |
| 23 | Bideford | 46 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 38:88 | 37 |
| 24 | Paulton Rovers | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:89 | 36 |
Promotion - National League South 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
