Sport Picks
Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield Prediction & H2H Stats
England
National League North Penydarren Park, Merthyr 
Match Events
55'
55'
George A.
77'
77'
Foulston J.
90'
90'
Watts E.
AI Match Summary
Merthyr Town in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merthyr Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Macclesfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Macclesfield have won more games recently than Merthyr Town.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Merthyr Town have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 20%
Macclesfield Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Merthyr Town | Macclesfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield
1:2
Sep 2, 2025 National League North
Macclesfield vs Merthyr Town
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Merthyr Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Foulston J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Watts E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Macclesfield Compare
Top Goalscorer George A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Merthyr Town 36 / 100
Macclesfield 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Merthyr Town Macclesfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Macclesfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Merthyr Town scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Macclesfield has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Merthyr Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Merthyr Town VS Macclesfield
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Merthyr Town
(Home) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
05 Sept
Merthyr Town
2 : 1 Macclesfield
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
18 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 2 Telford
Page 1 of 4
Macclesfield
(Away) 26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0 Harborough
19 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 2 Macclesfield
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Macclesfield
0 : 0 Scarborough Athletic
05 Sept
Merthyr Town
2 : 1 Macclesfield
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 2 Macclesfield
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
05 Sept
Merthyr Town
2 : 1 Macclesfield
29 Aug
Darlington FC
1 : 2 Macclesfield
18 Aug
Spalding United
0 : 0 Macclesfield
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
