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Merthyr Town vs Yeovil

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pearson S.
60' Event
Pearson S.
71' Event
Obeng M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Merthyr Town and Yeovil finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Merthyr Town
30%
Draws
41%
Yeovil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yeovil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yeovil come out ahead of Merthyr Town on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 15%
Yeovil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merthyr Town Yeovil
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Merthyr Town vs Yeovil
2:2
Jul 18, 2016 Club Friendly
Merthyr Town vs Yeovil
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merthyr Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Pearson S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Yeovil Compare

Top Goalscorer Obeng M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walker S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merthyr Town 31 / 100
Yeovil 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merthyr Town Yeovil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merthyr Town scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Yeovil has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Merthyr Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merthyr Town VS Yeovil
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2
Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0
Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0
Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1
Merthyr Town
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Yeovil

(Away)
26 Sept
Kidderminster
0 : 1
Yeovil
18 Sept
Yeovil
4 : 1
Solihull Moors
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1
Yeovil
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4
AFC Fylde
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2
Yeovil
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