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Merthyr Town vs Yeovil

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pearson S.
60' Event
Pearson S.
71' Event
Obeng M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Merthyr Town and Yeovil finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Merthyr Town
44%
Draws
20%
Yeovil
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yeovil come out ahead of Merthyr Town on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 13%
Yeovil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merthyr Town Yeovil
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Merthyr Town vs Yeovil
2:2
Jul 18, 2016 Club Friendly
Merthyr Town vs Yeovil
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merthyr Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Pearson S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Yeovil Compare

Top Goalscorer Obeng M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walker S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merthyr Town 35 / 100
Yeovil 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merthyr Town Yeovil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merthyr Town scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Yeovil has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Merthyr Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merthyr Town VS Yeovil
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)
18 Jul
Merthyr Town
1 : 2
Forest Green
14 Jul
Merthyr Town
2 : 2
Yeovil
10 Jul
Merthyr Town
4 : 2
Cambrian United
25 Apr
Merthyr Town
2 : 4
AFC Fylde
18 Apr
Scarborough Athletic
2 : 1
Merthyr Town
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Yeovil

(Away)
18 Jul
Yeovil
1 : 0
Cardiff U21
14 Jul
Merthyr Town
2 : 2
Yeovil
11 Jul
Melksham
1 : 4
Yeovil
25 Apr
Yeovil
1 : 4
Solihull Moors
18 Apr
York City
3 : 0
Yeovil
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