Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mertskhali vs Gori

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Khachapuridze G.
60' Event
Lobzhanidze T.
63' Event
Lobzhanidze T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mertskhali
25%
Draws
35%
Gori
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mertskhali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Gori carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Gori arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gori, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mertskhali Clean Sheet 10%
Gori Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mertskhali Gori
Matches Played 1 29
Wins 0 9
Draws 0 8
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 1 1.21
Goals Conceded 3 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
Mertskhali vs Gori
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mertskhali Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolkvadze D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobzhanidze T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khachapuridze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mertskhali 30 / 100
Gori 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mertskhali Gori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mertskhali's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 1 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Gori's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Gori's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mertskhali VS Gori
1 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mertskhali

(Home)
26 Jun
Mertskhali
1 : 3
Gori

Gori

(Away)
22 Aug
Dusheti
1 : 0
Gori
15 Aug
Samtredia
1 : 0
Gori
08 Aug
Gori
4 : 1
Bolnisi
02 Aug
Gori
0 : 2
Dila Gori
25 Jul
Gori
1 : 0
Bolnisi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Samtredia -
Iberia 1999 -
Quarter-finals
Gagra -
Dusheti -
Dila Gori -
Samgurali -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Dinamo Batumi -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -