Sport Picks
Mertzig vs Alisontia Steinsel
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-3, with Alisontia Steinsel advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alisontia Steinsel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Mertzig haven't matched Alisontia Steinsel's recent run of results.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Alisontia Steinsel taking it.
- Alisontia Steinsel arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Alisontia Steinsel, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Mertzig Clean Sheet 10%
Alisontia Steinsel Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mertzig | Alisontia Steinsel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 23 |
| Wins | 0 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.89 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 3.04 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Mertzig vs Alisontia Steinsel
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mertzig 10 / 100
Alisontia Steinsel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mertzig Alisontia Steinsel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alisontia Steinsel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alisontia Steinsel let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Alisontia Steinsel has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Mertzig scored in 56% of their last 9 games.
Scoring Trends
Mertzig VS Alisontia Steinsel
0.83 Goals Scored 2.75
3.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 75%
83% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Mertzig
(Home) 21 Sept
Mertzig
2 : 3 Alisontia Steinsel
06 Oct
Mertzig
2 : 4 Union Titus Petange
01 Oct
Mertzig
1 : 4 FC Mamer
02 Oct
Mertzig
0 : 4 Mondorf
18 Oct
Mertzig
0 : 5 Dudelange
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21 Sept
Mertzig
2 : 3 Alisontia Steinsel
06 Oct
Mertzig
2 : 4 Union Titus Petange
01 Oct
Mertzig
1 : 4 FC Mamer
02 Oct
Mertzig
0 : 4 Mondorf
18 Oct
Mertzig
0 : 5 Dudelange
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Alisontia Steinsel
(Away) 20 Sept
Alisontia Steinsel
1 : 2 Hostert
04 Mar
US Feulen
1 : 0 Alisontia Steinsel
09 Nov
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
1 : 2 Alisontia Steinsel
21 Sept
Mertzig
2 : 3 Alisontia Steinsel
10 Nov
Alisontia Steinsel
0 : 1 Differdange
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04 Mar
US Feulen
1 : 0 Alisontia Steinsel
09 Nov
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
1 : 2 Alisontia Steinsel
21 Sept
Mertzig
2 : 3 Alisontia Steinsel
05 Oct
Alliance Aischdall
2 : 3 Alisontia Steinsel
03 Feb
Differdange
3 : 0 Alisontia Steinsel
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Ehlerange 0
Differdange 9
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Union Titus Petange 4
Les Aiglons Dalheim 2
The Belval Belvaux 6
Grevenmacher 0
UNA Strassen 3
Kehlen 2
Ettelbruck 3
Echternach 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
FC Munsbach 3
FC Residence Walferdange 1
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Canach 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Fola 4
Oberkorn 0
Hesperange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Hostert 4
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Koeppchen 0
FC Schengen 2
Luxembourg City 4
Gasperich 0
Lorentzweiler 1
US Folschette 0
FC Rodange 91 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Dudelange 3
FC Noertzange HF 0
Bissen 9
FC Kopstal 33 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
CS Sanem 1
Mondorf 6
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 2
Wiltz 6
ALSS Luxembourg 2
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Miniere Lasauvage 2
US Feulen 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Bettembourg 6
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Schifflange 2
Mertzig 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
FC Mamer 2
Lintgen 0
Kaerjeng 3
FF Norden 1
Mondercange 4
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/16-finals
Differdange 2
Union Titus Petange 1
The Belval Belvaux 2
UNA Strassen 4
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
FC Munsbach 2
Jeunesse Canach 3
Rumelange 2
Fola 4
Hesperange 0
Hostert 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Rodange 91 4
Dudelange 1
Bissen 4
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Mondorf 2
Wiltz 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
US Feulen 2
Bettembourg 1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Alisontia Steinsel 2
FC Mamer 2
Kaerjeng 0
Mondercange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/8-finals
Differdange 4
UNA Strassen 3
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Fola 3
Hostert 1
Luxembourg City 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Bissen 2
Mondorf 1
Wiltz 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
US Feulen 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
FC Mamer 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Quarter-finals
Differdange 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Fola 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Bissen 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
US Feulen 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Final
Differdange 4
Victoria Rosport 1
