Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Hostert in this Luxembourg Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hostert
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Hostert have won more games recently than Mertzig.
- Hostert are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Hostert arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Hostert, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mertzig Clean Sheet 17%
Hostert Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mertzig | Hostert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 36 |
| Wins | 0 | 14 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.89 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2017 Luxembourg Cup
Mertzig vs Hostert
0:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mertzig 10 / 100
Hostert 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mertzig Hostert
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hostert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Hostert has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.
Mertzig's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 9 recent games.
Hostert lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mertzig VS Hostert
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mertzig
(Home) 21 Sept
Mertzig
2 : 3 Alisontia Steinsel
06 Oct
Mertzig
2 : 4 Union Titus Petange
01 Oct
Mertzig
1 : 4 FC Mamer
02 Oct
Mertzig
0 : 4 Mondorf
18 Oct
Mertzig
0 : 5 Dudelange
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21 Sept
Mertzig
2 : 3 Alisontia Steinsel
06 Oct
Mertzig
2 : 4 Union Titus Petange
01 Oct
Mertzig
1 : 4 FC Mamer
02 Oct
Mertzig
0 : 4 Mondorf
18 Oct
Mertzig
0 : 5 Dudelange
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Hostert
(Away) 20 Sept
Alisontia Steinsel
1 : 2 Hostert
16 Sept
Hostert
1 : 1 Jeunesse Esch
12 Sept
Hostert
0 : 0 Dudelange
05 Sept
Victoria Rosport
0 : 2 Hostert
30 Aug
Hostert
0 : 2 Differdange
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20 Sept
Alisontia Steinsel
1 : 2 Hostert
05 Sept
Victoria Rosport
0 : 2 Hostert
23 Aug
Hesperange
0 : 2 Hostert
09 Aug
Kaerjeng
4 : 2 Hostert
02 Aug
FC Residence Walferdange
3 : 2 Hostert
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Wiltz 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
US Moutfort/Medingen 0
Ettelbruck 10
Victoria Rosport 1
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
US Reisdorf 0
Rumelange 8
Kaerjeng 4
Echternach 1
Lorentzweiler 0
US Sandweiler 4
FC Mamer 2
Blo Weiss Itzig 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Esch 4
Cebra 0
US Berdorf Consdorf 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 5
FC Kopstal 33 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 2
Luxembourg City 2
Steinfort 0
FC Ehlerange 1
Koeppchen 2
Jeunesse Useldange 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 3
Mertzig 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 8
CS Sanem 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
UNA Strassen 6
Oberkorn 1
Racing Troisvierges 1
Jeunesse Esch 16
Progres Niedercorn 3
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Dudelange 13
Fola 5
AS Wincrange 1
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Union Titus Petange 7
Grevenmacher 4
Bettembourg 2
Alliance Aischdall 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Hesperange 6
Diekirch 1
Union Remich/Bous 1
Mondorf 2
Erpeldange 5
US Feulen 1
FC Orania Vianden 2
Union Tetange 4
FF Norden 2
AS Colmar-Berg 1
Lintgen 0
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Wiltz 3
Ettelbruck 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Rumelange 3
Kaerjeng 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 1
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Luxembourg City 2
Koeppchen 0
Jeunesse Useldange 0
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
UNA Strassen 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Progres Niedercorn 4
Dudelange 3
Fola 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Grevenmacher 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Hesperange 0
Mondorf 1
Erpeldange 2
Union Tetange 1
FF Norden 0
Differdange 9
1/8-finals
Wiltz 2
Rumelange 0
Kaerjeng 1
FC Rodange 91 5
Esch 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Luxembourg City 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Esch 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 1
Mondorf 0
Erpeldange 0
Differdange 2
Quarter-finals
Wiltz 3
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 2
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 1
Semi-finals
Wiltz 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 1
Differdange 0
Final
Hostert 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
