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Mervue United vs Home Farm

Ireland Ireland

National League Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
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AI Match Summary

The National League game between Mervue United and Home Farm finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Home Farm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mervue United
30%
Draws
37%
Home Farm
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Home Farm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mervue United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Home Farm's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mervue United Clean Sheet 12%
Home Farm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mervue United Home Farm
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League
Mervue United vs Home Farm
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mervue United 11 / 100
Home Farm 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mervue United Home Farm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Home Farm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Mervue United's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Home Farm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Mervue United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mervue United VS Home Farm
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mervue United

(Home)
03 Oct
Bonagee
1 : 6
Mervue United
26 Sept
Mervue United
0 : 0
Lucan Utd
19 Sept
Mervue United
2 : 1
Bonagee
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
Page 1 of 7

Home Farm

(Away)
03 Oct
Lucan Utd
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Sept
Home Farm
4 : 0
Cockhill
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Cockhill
0 : 2
Home Farm
29 Aug
Bonagee
2 : 2
Home Farm
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 5 3 2 0 16:5 11
2 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Lucan Utd 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Bonagee 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
2 Letterkenny Rovers 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
3 TU Dublin 5 1 3 1 10:12 6
4 Mayo FC 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
5 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 5 4 1 0 20:6 13
2 CK United FC 6 3 2 1 12:12 11
3 University College Cork 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Killarney Celtic 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
5 Newbridge Town 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams