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Mervue United vs Sporting Fingal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2010 Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Sporting Fingal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Mervue United
20%
Draws
45%
Sporting Fingal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Fingal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Mervue United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Fingal taking it.
  • Mervue United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting Fingal, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Mervue United Clean Sheet 23%
Sporting Fingal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mervue United Sporting Fingal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2010 FAI Cup
Mervue United vs Sporting Fingal
0:4
Jun 4, 2010 FAI Cup
Sporting Fingal vs Mervue United
1:1
Oct 30, 2009 Division 1
Mervue United vs Sporting Fingal
1:4
Aug 7, 2009 Division 1
Sporting Fingal vs Mervue United
2:0
May 8, 2009 Division 1
Mervue United vs Sporting Fingal
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mervue United 10 / 100
Sporting Fingal 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mervue United Sporting Fingal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Fingal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mervue United's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sporting Fingal conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Mervue United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mervue United VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mervue United

(Home)
03 Oct
Bonagee
1 : 6
Mervue United
26 Sept
Mervue United
0 : 0
Lucan Utd
19 Sept
Mervue United
2 : 1
Bonagee
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
Page 1 of 7

Sporting Fingal

(Away)
29 Oct
Sporting Fingal
4 : 1
UC Dublin
22 Oct
Dundalk
0 : 2
Sporting Fingal
15 Oct
Sporting Fingal
3 : 1
Galway United
09 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 2
Sporting Fingal
02 Oct
Sporting Fingal
2 : 2
St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Glenville 1
Bohemians 7
Dublin Bus 0
Shelbourne 2
Drogheda 1
UC Dublin 2
Bray 4
Derry City 3
Finn Harps 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Athlone 0
Cork City 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Monaghan United 3
Carlow 2
Longford 1
Waterford 0
Shamrock Rovers 5
Wexford 1
Galway United 5
Malahide United 0
Tullamore 1
Salthill 3
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 1
Belgrove 2
Avondale United 1
Limerick 3
Tolka 1
Mervue United 1
Sporting Fingal 5
1/8-finals
Bohemians 1
Shelbourne 0
UC Dublin 2
Bray 3
Finn Harps 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Monaghan United 1
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 4
Salthill 2
St. Patricks 2
Belgrove 0
Limerick 2
Sporting Fingal 3
Quarter-finals
Bohemians 3
Bray 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Monaghan United 0
Shamrock Rovers 6
Galway United 0
St. Patricks 3
Sporting Fingal 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
St. Patricks 2
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 0