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Merw vs FC Asgabat

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga game between Merw and FC Asgabat finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merw.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Merw
22%
Draws
60%
FC Asgabat
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Asgabat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Asgabat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Asgabat are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Yokary Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Merw Clean Sheet 10%
FC Asgabat Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merw FC Asgabat
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Merw
5:1
Apr 22, 2026 Yokary Liga
Merw vs FC Asgabat
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Merw
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Merw vs FC Asgabat
1:2
May 9, 2025 Yokary Liga
Merw vs FC Asgabat
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merw 18 / 100
FC Asgabat 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merw FC Asgabat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Asgabat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Merw's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Asgabat lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merw VS FC Asgabat
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%