Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Nazari A.
45'
45'
Nasiri A.
70'
70'
Fahmi Maleki O.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Mes Kerman and Mazandaran finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazandaran.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
35%
9%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mes Kerman
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mes Kerman haven't matched Mazandaran's recent run of results.
- Model gives Mes Kerman a 56% chance of winning this.
- Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Mazandaran here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 68%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mes Kerman | Mazandaran |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 14 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.57 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.80 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Mazandaran
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Mes Kerman
1:0
Feb 14, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Kerman vs Mazandaran
2:1
Sep 5, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Mes Kerman
2:0
Apr 19, 2022 Hazfi Cup
Mazandaran vs Mes Kerman
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mes Kerman Compare
Top Goalscorer Nazari A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4
Mazandaran Compare
Top Goalscorer Nasiri A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fahmi Maleki O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mes Kerman 86 / 100
Mazandaran 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mes Kerman Mazandaran
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mes Kerman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Mes Kerman remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Mazandaran's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Mes Kerman's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Mes Kerman VS Mazandaran
0.86 Goals Scored 1.13
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mes Kerman
(Home) 16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0 Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0 Mes Kerman
03 Jul
Mes Kerman
0 : 0 Naft Bandar Abbas
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
21 Jun
Mes Kerman
1 : 1 Pars Janoobi Jam
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0 Navad Urmia
03 Jul
Mes Kerman
0 : 0 Naft Bandar Abbas
21 Jun
Mes Kerman
1 : 1 Pars Janoobi Jam
09 Jun
Mes Kerman
0 : 0 Naft Gachsaran
27 May
Mes Kerman
1 : 2 Mazandaran
Page 1 of 4
Mazandaran
(Away) 28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2 Shams Azar Qazvin
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Mazandaran
18 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 1 Esteghlal TEH
14 Aug
Gol Gohar
1 : 0 Mazandaran
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2 Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Mazandaran
14 Aug
Gol Gohar
1 : 0 Mazandaran
11 Jul
Fard
0 : 1 Mazandaran
27 Jun
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 3 Mazandaran
15 Jun
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1 Mazandaran
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
