Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mes Kerman host Mes Rafsanjan in the Azadegan League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Mes Rafsanjan have shipped 1.08 goals a game lately, while Mes Kerman have conceded 0.59 and scored 0.68. Head-to-head, Mes Kerman have won 0 to Mes Rafsanjan's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2023, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 0.48) point toward Mes Kerman. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mes Kerman
35%
Draws
37%
Mes Rafsanjan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mes Rafsanjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Mes Rafsanjan haven't matched Mes Kerman's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mes Kerman's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 20%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Kerman Mes Rafsanjan
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 8 6
Draws 17 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.68 0.54
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Mes Kerman
1:0
Dec 19, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan
0:2
Jun 30, 2020 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan
0:0
Oct 30, 2019 Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Mes Kerman
1:1
Aug 9, 2019 Club Friendly
Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Kerman 49 / 100
Mes Rafsanjan 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Kerman Mes Rafsanjan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Kerman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Mes Kerman stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Mes Kerman scored in 56% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Mes Rafsanjan conceded in 58% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mes Kerman VS Mes Rafsanjan
0.75 Goals Scored 0.33
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 17%
13% Over 2.5 17%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Kerman

(Home)
05 Oct
Niroye Zamini
0 : 0
Mes Kerman
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
Page 1 of 7

Mes Rafsanjan

(Away)
05 Oct
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
29 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Jul
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 3
Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)