Sport Picks

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Mes Kerman vs Mes Shahr Babak

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Hosseinpour J.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Mes Kerman and Mes Shahr Babak finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mes Shahr Babak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mes Kerman
35%
Draws
29%
Mes Shahr Babak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mes Kerman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Mes Shahr Babak carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mes Kerman a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 68%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Kerman Mes Shahr Babak
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 15 12
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 0.72 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.59 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:1
Oct 7, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Mes Kerman
1:0
Mar 4, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Mes Kerman
0:2
Oct 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:0
May 8, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Mes Kerman
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Kerman Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mes Shahr Babak Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosseinpour J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Kerman 50 / 100
Mes Shahr Babak 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Kerman Mes Shahr Babak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Kerman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Kerman went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mes Kerman scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Mes Shahr Babak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mes Kerman VS Mes Shahr Babak
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Kerman

(Home)
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0
Mes Kerman
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Mes Shahr Babak

(Away)
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
24 Aug
Zob Ahan
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)