Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mes Kerman vs Saipa

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Ebrahimi H.

AI Match Summary

Mes Kerman in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mes Kerman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mes Kerman
30%
Draws
47%
Saipa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saipa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saipa lately — more wins on the board than Mes Kerman.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 20%
Saipa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Kerman Saipa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 14 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.7 1
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Saipa
1:0
Aug 28, 2025 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Mes Kerman
0:0
May 12, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Saipa
0:1
Dec 28, 2024 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Mes Kerman
2:1
Feb 27, 2024 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Mes Kerman
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Kerman Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebrahimi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Saipa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Kerman 32 / 100
Saipa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Kerman Saipa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Mes Kerman remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Mes Kerman's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Saipa has conceded goals in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mes Kerman VS Saipa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Kerman

(Home)
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0
Mes Kerman
03 Jul
Mes Kerman
0 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
21 Jun
Mes Kerman
1 : 1
Pars Janoobi Jam
Page 1 of 7

Saipa

(Away)
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Fard
2 : 1
Saipa
21 Jun
Saipa
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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